Hungarian security services raided the office of the attorney of the mayor of Budapest, the mayor wrote on the X social media platform on Friday.
By referring to June 9 in his post, which also included the #StandWithBudapest and #DefendDemocracy hashtags, Karácsony was making an apparent reference to elections to the European Parliament as well as local government elections, which will take place on that day.Hungarian national security services raided my attorney’s office and several others' homes. This abuse of power aims to discredit me w manipulated propaganda. Budapest deserves better. On 9 June, we will show them our strength and values. #StandWithBudapest #DefendDemocracy
— Gergely Karácsony (@bpkaracsonyg) May 24, 2024
The elections have been seen as a chance for the Hungarian opposition to deliver a blow to Viktor Orbán, the prime minister, and his Fidesz party, which have dominated politics in the country since 2010. Since taking office Orbán has been accused of presiding over a government that has undermined democracy and press freedoms.
Writing on Facebook about the raid Karácsony said: “They have been hunting me for years and now Antal Rogán has taken it up a level.
“Instead of going after my colleagues, Rogán should send his men here; to my office.” Rogán, sometimes called by his critics as the “Cardinal Richelieu of the Orbán administration,” Rogán is the head of Orbán’s Cabinet Office, and considered a powerful player in the Hungarian government.
Szabolcs Panyi, a leading Hungarian investigative journalist, claimed the raid was linked to the government wanting to crack down on opposition groups it believes receive foreign funding, in an echo of similar moves carried out by Putin in Russia.
“Days after the Orbán government’s Russia-inspired Sovereignty Protection Authority released its report on the ‘foreign funding’ (allegedly from the U.S.) of Hungary’s opposition, authorities conducted house searches targeting key opposition experts, lawyers & political strategists,” Panyi wrote on the X platform.
Budapest mayoral raceDays after the Orbán government’s Russia-inspired Sovereignty Protection Authority released its report on the “foreign funding” (allegedly from the US) of Hungary’s opposition, authorities conducted house searches targeting key opposition experts, lawyers & political strategists. https://t.co/kkRmh6TqzF
— Szabolcs Panyi (@panyiszabolcs) May 24, 2024
In this year’s elections, the incumbent mayor faces two serious contenders: Alexandra Szentkirályi of the ruling Fidesz party, and Dávid Vitézy, an independent enjoying the support of Politics Can Be Different (LMP), another Green party.
According to a poll published by the English-language Hungary Today citing the republikon.hu website, Karácsony leads with 40% of the support of committed voters, followed by Szentkirályi with 30%, and Vitézy with 25%.
With a runoff vote a likelihood, the question is whom voters backing the candidate coming in third, likely Vitézy, will vote for?
Since the local elections coincide with the European elections, the broader context of the ballots also needs to be taken into account.
Fed up with Fidesz
Magyar is the former husband of Judit Varga, a disgraced Fidesz Minister of Justice. A one-time ally of the current prime minister, Magyar has used his insider knowledge of party politics to strongly attack Orbán for cronyism and corruption, a message that resonates with many voters disgruntled with the prime minister’s 14-year-long grip on power. This has allowed Magyar to successfully rally support from various people on both left and right, attested to by the turnout at two big protests he organized in Budapest in March and April.
Although some of TISZA’s current support comes from other opposition parties, some of its voters are disgruntled Fidesz supporters, and more may defect in the future.
Furthermore, in contrast to Fidesz, TISZA is pro-European in its outlook, whereas, under Orbán’s government, the relationship between Brussels and Budapest has become increasingly strained.
More worryingly, in a Friday interview given to Kossuth Rádio Orbán, reiterated his view that he does “not want to contribute with either military or financial aid” and that he is opposed to NATO countries training Ukrainian soldiers.
He said that “If we were to opt out, our participation in NATO’s military structure and our situation would also change.”