Politics

Macron way off pace and far right just shy of absolute majority, say French opinion polls

Photo: Pierre Suu/Getty Images
Photo: Pierre Suu/Getty Images
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Latest polls have revealed that France’s far right is gaining support and can count on receiving up to 36% of the vote in the country’s upcoming parliamentary elections.

A week before voting begins in the first round, two separate polls have indicated that Marine Le Pen’s National Rally (RN) stand to fall just short of an absolute majority.

The two polls, conducted by Elabe for La Tribune, and Ipsos for Le Parisien and Radio France, show that RN could poll between 35.5% and 36% of the vote. According to researchers, support for the country’s new left wing coalition, the New Popular Front, stands at between 27% and 29.5%.

As France prepares to head to the ballot box, Emanuel Macron’s Renaissance party, and its associated allies, have seen their support wane and can currently count on just 19.5% to 20% of the vote.

The traditional right, the Republicans party, are forecast to pull 10% of the vote. As things stand, the party has been left in a tailspin after dumping its leader, Eric Ciotti, after he called for an alliance with RN.

According to broadcaster BFMTV, the projections show that RN could win between 250 and 280 seats, a figure just shy of the 289 needed for an absolute majority. The New Popular Front, meanwhile, would win between 150 and 170 seats whilst Macron’s incumbent party would win between 90 and 110 seats - a far cry from the 245 seats they held prior to the dissolution of parliament.

Should RN win an absolute majority, 28-year-old Jordan Bardella would become prime minister, however, he has discounted himself from leading the government should an absolute majority be beyond RN.

Snap elections were called by Macron after his party was left humiliated at the polls during the European parliamentary elections. The first round of the election has been scheduled for June 30 and the second final round for July 7.
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