Orbán, in office since 2010, has framed the contest as a choice between “security” and instability, warning that a government led by Magyar’s TISZA party would put Ukrainian interests ahead of Hungary’s. Orbán’s campaign, fueled by anti-Ukrainian sentiment, has been plagued in recent days by scandals unmasking connections between Fidesz and the Kremlin. Magyar, a former insider turned anti-establishment challenger, has mounted the strongest electoral threat Orbán has faced in years, amid voter concern over inflation, corruption and tensions with Brussels. Late-stage polling gives Magyar’s TISZA an advantage, but analysts point out this might not translate into a clear win as Hungary’s electoral system may still benefit Fidesz.